Wednesday, December 7, 2016

Frederick County Housing Statistics, Year-to-Date October 2016 - Prices Up Slightly

How is the Frederick County housing market?  Are prices are rising? Yes, slightly. The county has shown a small increase. Year to date October 2016 numbers indicate a 1.9% rise in overall housing prices.  Looking at Chart A below, prices have modulated steadily for 4 years but not risen much. Click on any of the charts to see a larger view.

HOUSING INDICATORS  I use five basic indicators to look at to gauge the health of the market:  1) Average price, 2) Number of homes sold, 3) Days on market, 4) Inventory, and 5) Short sales and foreclosures.  I will update these numbers in a month or so when year end data are available.   In this post, you will find all of these indicators plus provide some data by Frederick County ZIP Code shown in Chart H.

  1. PRICE - The year-to-date (YTD) average sold price for all Frederick County homes rose 1.9% over last year, coming in at $302,320.  Shown by home type, the average prices for October 2016 look like this: detached homes:  $365,743; townhouses: $254,421; and condos: $183,302. Chart B below shows the average home price by type for a two year period.
  2. NUMBER OF SALES - The total sales, YTD were 3,645, which is 13% higher than in the total for 2015. Annual number of homes sold has been rising steadily since 2012. See Chart C.
  3. DAYS ON MARKET - The average number of days a home stayed on the market (DOM) until getting a contract was 72 throughout the year.  Up 2 days from the previous year.  This has varied a lot over the past 10 years. See Chart D.
  4. INVENTORY - Inventory can be tricky to understand. It is not simply the number homes on the market, but is a ratio of the number of homes for sale compared to the number of homes just sold. This is an indicator of the number of active buyers and yields a number that tells you how many months it would take to clear out all the currently available inventory.Inventory is 3. 4 months. This means that it would take 3.4 months to clear out all inventory given the current number of homes sold. 3.4 is somewhat low, as 6 months is considered average. Inventory has hovered below 5 months since 2012. See Chart E.
  5. SHORT SALES AND FORECLOSURES -  The Frederick County housing market also contains a percentage of short sales and foreclosures and it's good to keep an eye on those numbers. As of October 2016, about 3.6% of home sales were Short Sales, down slightly (.6) over last year. The number of Foreclosures dropped 2.4% , and are now around 12%.
    See Chart F.  Chart G shows the 10 year trend in Frederick County for Short Sales and Foreclosures.
Chart A  - Average Home Price by Type of Home - 2 Year Trend, Frederick County MD

Chart B - Average Home Price by Frederick City, MD ZIP Codes - YTD October 2016

Chart C -  Number of Homes Sold in Frederick County, MD - 10 Year Trend

Chart D -  Average Days On Market in Frederick County, MD - 10 Year Trend

Chart E -  Housing Inventory in Frederick County, MD - 10 Year Trend

Chart F: Percentage of Total Sales Which Are Foreclosures and Shortsales in Frederick County, MD ZIP Code - YTD October 2016

Chart G:  Foreclosures and Shortsales in Frederick County, 10 Year Trend as of  October 2016

Chart H: Average Home Price by Frederick County, MD ZIP Code - YTD October 2016

The data in this post comes from both MRIS, and SmartCharts RBI. Feel free to email or call me if you have any questions or would like further information about a particular subdivision in the County. Contact info is below. ~  Darcy


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Darcy Richards is your Realtor for the heart of Frederick, Maryland.  She will help you sell your current home, or buy a home, in the Frederick area. You can count on her for professional, competent, trusted guidance through the process.  Reviews.   Darcy Richards, RE/MAX Results, 7210 Corporate Ct, #B Frederick MD 21703   Direct: 240/215-0381 Main: 301/698-5005. Each office independently owned and operated.